Bitcoin value might backside at $15.5K if it retests this lifetime historic assist stage

Bitcoin (BTC) may very well be in for a return to ranges not seen since earlier than its 2020 bull market if historical past repeats itself.

That was in response to new evaluation launched on Might 24, which studied Bitcoin’s interplay with its 200-week shifting common (WMA).

Bitcoin ground goal may very well be between $15,500 and $19,000

In a Twitter thread, widespread dealer and analyst Rekt Capital defined how BTC/USD might behave ought to it fall to retest the 200WMA.

A lifeline all through Bitcoin’s historical past, the 200WMA is a always rising line of final assist which has by no means been positively damaged.

At present sitting at round $22,000, information from Cointelegraph Markets Professional and TradingView exhibits, the extent continues to behave as a line within the sand in terms of bear markets.

In occasions previous, Rekt Capital notes, Bitcoin has “depraved” beneath the 200WMA — briefly capitulating earlier than rising again above, permitting it to stay as assist and never as a substitute flip to resistance.

These wicks, nonetheless, have concerned as much as 28% of spot value, which means that ought to an analogous wick happen now, Bitcoin would find yourself at $15,500.

“BTC tends to wick -14% to -28% beneath the 200-MA. And for the reason that $BTC 200-MA now represents the worth level of ~$22000… A -14% draw back wick beneath the 200-MA would end in a ~$19000 Bitcoin,” Rekt Capital wrote.

“And if BTC have been to repeat the March 2020 draw back wicking depth beneath the 200-MA $BTC would revisit the ~$15500 value level.”BTC/USD 1-week candle chart (Bitstamp) with 200WMA. Supply: TradingView

“Concentrate” beneath $23,000

As Cointelegraph reported, a lot has been fabricated from Bitcoin value motion at this time in comparison with March 2020 on the top of the COVID-19 cross-market crash.

Associated: Bitcoin dives to fill CME hole amid declare new all-time highs will take 2 years

Rekt Capital moreover examined historic drawdowns from all-time highs and Bitcoin’s “loss of life crosses” this month, producing a BTC value goal of $22,700 — nearly precisely on the present 200WM.

“BTC is slowly approaching the 200-MA Traditionally, the 200-MA tends to supply implausible alternatives with outsized ROI for long-term $BTC traders (inexperienced circles),” he added alongside a chart displaying interactions.

“Ought to BTC certainly attain the 200-MA assist… It could be clever to concentrate.”BTC/USD annotated chart with 200-week MA. Supply: Rekt Capital/ Twitter

Fellow analyst PlanB, creator of the stock-to-flow BTC value fashions, has additionally lengthy championed the function of the 200WMA as assist.

The views and opinions expressed listed below are solely these of the creator and don’t essentially replicate the views of Each funding and buying and selling transfer entails danger, it’s best to conduct your individual analysis when making a choice.

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